Analysis

At the Fed's January monetary policy meeting, policymakers announced that they would keep interest rates unchanged and signaled that there were upside risks to the inflation outlook, meaning they would remain on hold. This decision may put pressure on risky assets such as U.S. stocks.

In line with market expectations and our forecasts, the RBA decided to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, reducing the policy rate from 4.35% to 4.1%. This marks the first rate cut since the end of the tightening cycle from May 2022 to November 2023.

U.S. debt Cassandras can point to news of the country's record household debt figure last week as yet another sign that the day of reckoning for the heavily indebted nation is fast-approaching. But zoom out, and the bigger picture is rather less alarming.

Europe's leaders have long known the region is living beyond the means of its ageing, stagnant economy. The question is whether the ructions created by Donald Trump's second White House term mean they will do something about it.

On Tuesday, February 18, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will announce its interest rate decision for February. The market widely expects the RBA to cut rates by 25 basis points, lowering the policy rate to 4.1%. TradingKey Analyst Jason Tang agrees with this view.

The euro zone is showing early signs of an economic recovery that is unlikely to be derailed by the tariffs the Trump administration has threatened thus far. But that doesn’t mean European policymakers can let their guard down.

Looking ahead, although potential tariffs may introduce uncertainty to Thailand's foreign trade, fiscal spending is expected to continue supporting the economy.

While the seismic market moves caused by DeepSeek were short-lived, the release of the Chinese startup’s high-performing and inexpensive large language model is likely to have long-term implications for technology, trade, and economic relations between the U.S. and China.

The Trump administration's pledge to contain long-term U.S. Treasury yields has strengthened bond market expectations that a long-desired regulatory shift on bank leverage requirements could be finally looming.

TradingKey - The FOMC’s top concerns remain inflation and employment. The January CPI report shows inflation diverging from the Fed’s 2% target, while Thursday’s PPI also climbed steadily, reinforcing the upward trend in prices. Recent job data suggests the labor market does not appear to need furth

In a world where information, money and asset prices move faster than at any time in history, one key element of financial markets remains resolutely resistant to change: forecasting.

Jeremy Fang, a sales officer at a Chinese aluminium products maker, is trying to export more to markets in Asia, Africa and Latin America to offset the U.S. tariffs' impact. The problem, he says, is that his competitors have the same idea.

Seven years ago President Donald Trump ordered 10% tariffs on U.S. imports of aluminium with the stated aim of increasing domestic primary metal production. They haven't worked.

Ahead of the release of the US January CPI report, inflation expectation surveys from the University of Michigan and the New York Fed have shown a rare divergence. With the escalation of Trump's tariffs, the trajectory of US inflation has garnered significant attention.

A key measure of excess liquidity in the financial system is evaporating rapidly. Once it disappears, further reduction of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet - 'quantitative tightening' - could trigger a potentially worrying decline in bank reserves.

After months of speculation on whether Shigeru Ishiba would be able to rekindle the bonhomie his predecessor Shinzo Abe had with Donald Trump, the Japanese prime minister has proven he knows how to deliver exactly what the U.S. President wants - and not a moment too soon.

LONDON/JERUSALEM, Feb 9 (Reuters) - A historic shake-up of the Middle East is starting to draw international investors, warming to the prospects of relative peace and economic recovery after so much turmoil.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's pledge to contain yields on 10-year Treasury notes met some skepticism in the bond market on Thursday, as inflationary pressures and expectations of a widening federal deficit threaten to outweigh efforts to curb borrowing costs.

Central banks around the globe have plenty of room to keep cutting interest rates, and a limited "decoupling" from the U.S. Federal Reserve could continue as it pauses its own policy easing, according to policymakers and analysts.

As the first nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report of 2025 approaches, the Federal Reserve’s rate cut prospects and markets such as gold and U.S. stocks face a critical test. Following unexpectedly strong ADP employment data, will the NFP report show signs of cooling as anticipated?