Analysis

TradingKey - On the evening of March 29, 2026, a power and desalination facility in Kuwait was directly hit by Iranian missiles, resulting in casualties. Kuwaiti authorities have explicitly characterized the incident as an "attack" rather than an accidental strike. Simultaneously, the Kuwaiti milita

TradingKey - Amid geopolitical conflicts driving up energy prices and market concerns over a resurgence in inflation, Powell's latest remarks provided key guidance: short-term shocks are not yet sufficient to alter the policy path, and the Federal Reserve remains inclined to "stand pat and observe."

TradingKey - Price hike pressures on PC hardware are spreading from memory and storage chips to the processor sector. The CPU market is currently initiating a round of price increases averaging 10% to 15%, impacting both server and consumer products.

TradingKey — The Japanese Government Bond (JGB) market has recently undergone a rare and sharp repricing. With 5-year JGB yields hitting record highs and 10-year yields nearing multi-decade peaks, market expectations for an accelerated end to Japan's era of ultra-low interest rates are rapidly inten

(Reuters Breakingviews) - Wall Street’s lucrative private-credit empire is facing its first true stress test. Funds targeting wealthy individuals set up by BlackRock BLK.N, Morgan Stanley MS.N and peers are limiting withdrawals, as small-dollar backers desert a $23...

TradingKey - As Donald Trump once again signals a de-escalation of Middle East tensions, global markets have swiftly entered "TACO trade" mode: risk assets rebounded, safe-haven assets retreated, and volatility quickly contracted.

TradingKey - On March 23, Eastern Time, ahead of the U.S. market open, Donald Trump signaled a potential de-escalation.

TradingKey - Amid the oil price-driven inflationary shock triggered by the war in Iran, previous widespread market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts have completely dissipated, forcing bond traders to scramble to adjust their strategies. Traders are further increasing bets on Fed rate hikes, anticipating a 20-basis-point increase by the end of the year.

TradingKey - Following the latest policy meeting, several Federal Reserve officials have issued a flurry of signals to anchor expectations, but market reactions have significantly diverged. Despite the policy-level emphasis on stability, financial markets have "voted with their feet"—U.S. stocks weakened, yields climbed, and rate cut expectations have been continuously pushed back.

TradingKey - For a while, talk of a U.S. recession had slipped quietly into the background, replaced by a more familiar mix of inflation concerns and trump tariffs. Now, it is back at the centre of the conversation.

TradingKey - The Bank of England unanimously voted to hold interest rates steady on Thursday. Following the announcement, two-year UK gilt yields—the most sensitive to interest rate changes—surged, jumping 40 basis points to 4.49%, a new high since January 2025. The rout in gilts quickly triggered a

TradingKey - On March 19 local time, the Bank of England announced it would maintain its benchmark interest rate at 3.75%, consistent with a cautious policy tone but marking a clear departure from previous widespread market expectations for rate cuts within the year.

TradingKey - Market expectations for the monetary policy path are undergoing a significant shift. According to the latest CME FedWatch data, traders have notably scaled back short-term rate cut bets, turning instead to the "higher-for-longer" macro narrative.

TradingKey - On March 18 ET, the Federal Reserve held rates steady as expected, maintaining the target range for the federal funds rate between 3.5% and 3.75%. At the press conference, Powell stated that persistent U.S. inflation and rising uncertainty regarding the outlook are disrupting the pace o

TradingKey - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell clarified for the first time during Wednesday's post-meeting press conference that he will not resign from the Fed's Board of Governors until the U.S. Department of Justice's criminal investigation against him is fully concluded. This marks the first

TradingKey - At 2:00 PM ET on March 18, the Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest rate decision. While it has become a consensus that the Fed will maintain the current benchmark interest rate and make no adjustments to the current policy rate range of 3.50%–3.75%, this meeting remains a bellwether for global markets.

TradingKey - The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its benchmark interest rate for the second consecutive month on Tuesday, announcing a 25-basis-point hike to 4.1%, a ten-month high. The move is intended to curb persistently high inflation.

TradingKey - This week, global central banks usher in the most intensive "Super Central Bank Week" of the year. From Washington to London and Brussels to Tokyo, nearly 20 central banks will convene for policy meetings to conduct their first assessment of the ripple effects on the global economy since the outbreak of the US-Iran conflict more than two weeks ago.

TradingKey - At 8:30 AM ET on Wednesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the February Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which traders view as setting the tone for investment direction.

TradingKey - U.S. non-farm payrolls saw a net decrease of 92,000 in February, far missing expectations and marking the second monthly contraction since 2020. Simultaneously, the unemployment rate climbed to 4.4%. The Bureau of Labor Statistics also revised down previous figures by a total of 69,000.