Analysis

On 10 April 2025, the U.S. released its March Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, revealing a continued slowdown in inflation. Core CPI month-over-month growth eased from 0.2% in February to 0.1% in March, while Headline CPI unexpectedly recorded a negative month-over-month figure of -0.1%.

TradingKey - In recent days, consecutive selloffs in stocks and Treasuries have sent one unmistakable message: investors are afraid. The S&P 500 experienced two of its worst back-to-back days of trading since the financial crisis.

TradingKey - Just ahead of the implementation of President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariff policy, the U.S. witnessed a simultaneous selloff in both risk assets and traditionally safe-haven Treasuries. A key driver is the widespread use of highly leveraged "basis trades"  by hedge funds.

April 10 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer prices unexpectedly fell in March, but inflation risks are tilted to the upside after President Donald Trump doubled down on tariffs on imported Chinese goods even as he lowered duties on other nations.The consumer price index dipped 0.1% last month after gaining 0

By Ka Sing Chan HONG KONG, April 10 (Reuters Breakingviews) - U.S. President Donald Trump's erratic policymaking may be out of Beijing's hands, but there is one vital thing it can control: its stock market. Chinese indexes have been less volatile this past week compared to global benchmar...

The Trump administration’s recent imposition of a 104% tariff on China and "reciprocal" tariffs on other nations has triggered significant volatility in global financial markets. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury yields have fluctuated sharply, reflecting uncertainty about economic growth and policy...

TradingKey - On 10 April 2025, the United States will release its Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for March. Market consensus forecasts suggest that the year-over-year (YoY) increases for headline CPI and core CPI will reach 2.6% and 3.0%, respectively, down from the prior readings of 2.8% and 3.1%.

TradingKey - Donald Trump has made tariffs a cornerstone of his second term strategy, announcing reciprocal tariffs last week affecting all countries.

U.S. Treasuries are universally regarded as the "king of safe-haven assets," offering "risk-free returns" during periods of economic crises, financial turmoil, and geopolitical conflict. Compared to other safe-haven instruments—such as gold, the Japanese yen, the Swiss franc, or sovereign bonds...

On 4 April 2025, the U.S. released its March non-farm payroll (NFP) data, reporting a increase of 228,000 jobs, significantly surpassing market expectations of 135,000 and the prior month’s 151,000. Data also show that NFP has risen for two consecutive months.

We expect the yen to strengthen against the dollar in the short term and stabilize in the medium term.

TradingKey - Following President Donald Trump's announcement of new tariffs on global trading partners, stock markets in the Asia-Pacific region and Europe fell on Thursday, with U.S. markets also showing a pre-opening decline. 

HONG KONG, April 3 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Donald Trump’s second trade war is a battle of one against all. Reciprocal tariffs announced on Wednesday by the White House hit China with a hike of 34 percentage points, taking the fresh levies on exports from the People’s Republic up 5...

DONGGUAN, China, April 3 (Reuters) - Chinese outdoor furniture maker Jin Chaofeng set up a factory in Vietnam last July to escape higher U.S. tariffs. Now he is looking to close it, as Washington imposes steep levies on Hanoi and the rest of the world.

LONDON/TOKYO, April 3 (Reuters) - The latest round of U.S. trade tariffs unveiled on Wednesday will sap yet more vigour from a world economy barely recovered from the post-pandemic inflation surge, weighed down by record debt and unnerved by geopolitical strife.

TOKYO, April 2 (Reuters) - Japanese automakers have long relied on the "dependable and affordable" appeal of their economy cars to drive U.S. sales, thanks in part to low-cost production in Mexico. Now, U.S. President Donald Trump is turning that business model on its head.

By Mike Dolan LONDON, April 2 (Reuters) - The still mysterious U.S. tariff sweep coming on Wednesday makes it tough for investors to see much beyond this week, but the real risk is more of a slow-burning U.S. market decline on some open-ended plan - seeding months more of uncertainty rather than ...

On 4 April 2025, the United States will release its March Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. The market consensus currently anticipates job growth of 128,000, a decline from February’s 151,000. We align with this prevailing forecast.

TradingKey - During periods of turbulence in global capital markets, the CBOE VIX Index frequently makes headlines in major media outlets. Commonly viewed as a forward-looking indicator for U.S. equities, the VIX has historically spiked ahead of sharp declines in stock markets—highlighting its...

On 1 April 2025, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced its latest interest rate decision. In line with widespread market expectations, the central bank kept its policy rate steady at 4.1%.