EUR/HUF

Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke reviews the Hungarian Central Bank decision to keep the key rate at 5.50% while lowering its medium-term inflation target to 2.5% from 2028. The MNB slightly raised its 2027 inflation forecast and will move to eight policy meetings per year.

ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky says the National Bank of Hungary (NBH) delivered an expected pause in rate cuts and lowered its inflation target to 2.5%, creating a supportive backdrop for the Hungarian Forint.

Societe Generale analysts describe EUR/HUF as consolidating above the 360 area after an interim low near 348 in June. The pair is capped by the 200-day moving average at 370/371, with a breakout above this zone needed to confirm a larger up-move.

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects the National Bank of Hungary to pause its mini easing cycle at 5.50% and possibly outline a two-step cut in its inflation target from 3.0% to 2.0%.

Antje Praefcke at Commerzbank highlights that the Hungarian Central Bank is widely expected to leave its key rate at 5.50% and possibly lower its inflation target to 2.5%.

Frantisek Taborsky at ING argues that the stronger US Dollar (USD) following the Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting is clearly negative for emerging markets, keeping Central and Eastern European (CEE) currencies under pressure.