tradingkey.logo

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD creeps higher as ‘double bottom’ emerges

FXStreetJul 3, 2024 12:13 AM

  • Silver advanced 0.20%, after Powell's hawkish comments.


  • Technicals: Uptrend within descending channel, potential 'double bottom' pattern.


  • Resistance levels: $29.50, $30.84 (June 21 high), $32.29 (May 29 peak), $32.51 (YTD high).


  • Support points: $29.00, $28.57 (June 26 low), $27.59 (April 15 low).



Silver prices rose as Tuesday’s North American session finished, trading at $29.51 and registering gains of more than 0.20% at the time of writing. The grey metal advanced as Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivered hawkish remarks in an ECB event in Portugal, where he acknowledged that the Fed’s dual mandate risks are more balanced.



XAG/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook


Silver’s uptrend remains intact but is capped to the upside and downside by a descending channel. Although it has formed a ‘double bottom’ chart pattern, buyers lack the momentum to clear the top of the channel, as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) almost flat at the neutral midline.


To confirm the ‘double bottom’ chart pattern, XAG/USD needs to crack the next resistance level, which is $29.50. Once surpassed the next stop would be the neckline' at $30.84, the June 21 high, followed by the May 29 peak of $32.29. A breach of the latter will expose the year-to-date (YTD) high of $32.51.


Conversely, if XAG/USD falls below $29.00, the next support level would be the June 26 low of $28.57. Clearing this level could lead to a drop to the April 15 swing low of $27.59.


XAG/USD Price Action – Daily Chart


Economic Indicator

Fed Interest Rate Decision

The Federal Reserve (Fed) deliberates on monetary policy and makes a decision on interest rates at eight pre-scheduled meetings per year. It has two mandates: to keep inflation at 2%, and to maintain full employment. Its main tool for achieving this is by setting interest rates – both at which it lends to banks and banks lend to each other. If it decides to hike rates, the US Dollar (USD) tends to strengthen as it attracts more foreign capital inflows. If it cuts rates, it tends to weaken the USD as capital drains out to countries offering higher returns. If rates are left unchanged, attention turns to the tone of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement, and whether it is hawkish (expectant of higher future interest rates), or dovish (expectant of lower future rates).

Read more.

Last release: Wed Jun 12, 2024 18:00

Frequency: Irregular

Actual: 5.5%

Consensus: 5.5%

Previous: 5.5%

Source: Federal Reserve

Reviewed byTony
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely represents the author's personal opinions and does not reflect the official stance of Tradingkey. It should not be considered as investment advice. The article is intended for reference purposes only, and readers should not base any investment decisions solely on its content. Tradingkey bears no responsibility for any trading outcomes resulting from reliance on this article. Furthermore, Tradingkey cannot guarantee the accuracy of the article's content. Before making any investment decisions, it is advisable to consult an independent financial advisor to fully understand the associated risks.

Related Instruments

Recommended Articles

tradingkey.logo
tradingkey.logo
Intraday Data provided by Refinitiv and subject to terms of use. Historical and current end-of-day data provided by Refinitiv. All quotes are in local exchange time. Real-time last sale data for U.S. stock quotes reflect trades reported through Nasdaq only. Intraday data delayed at least 15 minutes or per exchange requirements.
* References, analysis, and trading strategies are provided by the third-party provider, Trading Central, and the point of view is based on the independent assessment and judgement of the analyst, without considering the investment objectives and financial situation of the investors.
Risk Warning: Our Website and Mobile App provides only general information on certain investment products. Finsights does not provide, and the provision of such information must not be construed as Finsights providing, financial advice or recommendation for any investment product.
Investment products are subject to significant investment risks, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested and may not be suitable for everyone. Past performance of investment products is not indicative of their future performance.
Finsights may allow third party advertisers or affiliates to place or deliver advertisements on our Website or Mobile App or any part thereof and may be compensated by them based on your interaction with the advertisements.
© Copyright: FINSIGHTS MEDIA PTE. LTD. All Rights Reserved.