tradingkey.logo

USD: Data tests start today – ING

FXStreetOct 29, 2024 8:46 AM

The performance since the weekend in G10 suggests there is both a liquidity component and more Trump hedges driving FX at the moment, ING’s FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.

DXY may come close to 105.0 on Election Day

“The group of more liquid/less Trump-exposed currencies (USD, EUR, CHF and GBP) is outperforming those that are less liquid and more sensitive to protectionism (AUD, NZD, NOK and SEK). We suspect this dynamic will continue in the coming days.”

“On the US macro side, today’s release of September’s JOLTS job openings data can distract markets from election trades. The recent hawkish trend in the USD swap curve pricing can realistically be inverted only with evidence of a softening jobs market, meaning we would need to see job openings reversing the August jump from 7.7m to 8.0m. The consensus is for the series to flatten at 8.0m.”

“The calendar also includes the Conference Board Consumer Confidence index, which is expected to have inched higher in October, and September’s wholesale inventories. Failing to see the US macro story deteriorate this week can pave the way for further dollar gains on the back of US election hedges and broad-based deleveraging. We retain a dollar-positive bias, and wouldn’t be surprised to see DXY close to 105.0 on Election Day.”

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Related Articles

tradingkey.logo
tradingkey.logo
Intraday Data provided by Refinitiv and subject to terms of use. Historical and current end-of-day data provided by Refinitiv. All quotes are in local exchange time. Real-time last sale data for U.S. stock quotes reflect trades reported through Nasdaq only. Intraday data delayed at least 15 minutes or per exchange requirements.
* References, analysis, and trading strategies are provided by the third-party provider, Trading Central, and the point of view is based on the independent assessment and judgement of the analyst, without considering the investment objectives and financial situation of the investors.
Risk Warning: Our Website and Mobile App provides only general information on certain investment products. Finsights does not provide, and the provision of such information must not be construed as Finsights providing, financial advice or recommendation for any investment product.
Investment products are subject to significant investment risks, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested and may not be suitable for everyone. Past performance of investment products is not indicative of their future performance.
Finsights may allow third party advertisers or affiliates to place or deliver advertisements on our Website or Mobile App or any part thereof and may be compensated by them based on your interaction with the advertisements.
© Copyright: FINSIGHTS MEDIA PTE. LTD. All Rights Reserved.