tradingkey.logo

DXY: Payrolls data eyed – OCBC

FXStreetOct 4, 2024 9:25 AM

The US Dollar (USD) is up for the 4th consecutive session overnight as US data surprised to the upside while geopolitical tensions in the middle east remains elevated. DXY was last at 101.93, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.  

Daily momentum is bullish

“ISM services, prices paid and new orders were stronger though employment slipped into contractionary territory. Focus today turns to US payrolls. Consensus is looking for +150kprint for NFP (vs. +142k prior), unemployment rate and hourly earnings to hold steady at 4.2% and 3.8% y/y, respectively.”

“Markets may unwind some of its dovish bets if labor-related data comes in hotter, and this may continue to add to USD rebound momentum in the near term. But given that the USD has corrected somewhat this week, the risks for the USD can be symmetric. A downside print in NFP (i.e. cooler job market) may see recent USD gains fade.”

“Daily momentum is bullish while rise in RSI moderated. Some consolidation is likely intra-day. Resistance at 101.90 (50 DMA, 23.6% fibo retracement of 2023 high to 2024 low), 102.50 levels. Near term support at 101 (21 DMA), 100.20 (recent low).”

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Related Articles

tradingkey.logo
tradingkey.logo
Intraday Data provided by Refinitiv and subject to terms of use. Historical and current end-of-day data provided by Refinitiv. All quotes are in local exchange time. Real-time last sale data for U.S. stock quotes reflect trades reported through Nasdaq only. Intraday data delayed at least 15 minutes or per exchange requirements.
* References, analysis, and trading strategies are provided by the third-party provider, Trading Central, and the point of view is based on the independent assessment and judgement of the analyst, without considering the investment objectives and financial situation of the investors.
Risk Warning: Our Website and Mobile App provides only general information on certain investment products. Finsights does not provide, and the provision of such information must not be construed as Finsights providing, financial advice or recommendation for any investment product.
Investment products are subject to significant investment risks, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested and may not be suitable for everyone. Past performance of investment products is not indicative of their future performance.
Finsights may allow third party advertisers or affiliates to place or deliver advertisements on our Website or Mobile App or any part thereof and may be compensated by them based on your interaction with the advertisements.
© Copyright: FINSIGHTS MEDIA PTE. LTD. All Rights Reserved.