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Europe Gasoline/Naphtha-Gasoline margins slide on demand uncertainty

ReutersApr 9, 2025 4:19 PM

- Northwest European gasoline refining profit margins fell by about $1 a barrel on Wednesday to $12.42 a barrel despite lower U.S. inventories, amid growing fears of a global recession which could hit oil demand.

  • A total of 4,000 metric tons of Eurobob E5 traded, with Vitol selling to Litasco.

  • Another 10,000 tons of Eurobob E10 traded as Varo bought from Litasco and Gunvor.

  • Vitol bought a cargo from Trafigura for Mediterranean loading in the Platts window.

  • U.S. gasoline stocks USOILG=ECI fell by 1.6 million barrels last week to 236 million barrels, the Energy Information Administration said, compared with expectations in a Reuters poll for a 1.5 million-barrel drawdown.​

  • Product supplied of gasoline, a proxy for demand, fell to 8.4 million bpd from 8.5 million bpd in the previous week. Lower consumption heading into the peak summer demand season has worried some investors.

  • China and the European Union announced new trade tariffs on U.S. goods on Wednesday in response to steep duties imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump, escalating a global trade war that has raised the likelihood of recession.

  • Brent prices fell below $60 a barrel for the first time since February 2021 on the tariff news on Wednesday.

  • EU and UK gasoline and blending component exports to other regions are expected to reach 721,000 bpd in April, down from 850,000 bpd in March, Kpler data shows.

  • Wider gasoline-naphtha spreads are opening up various arbitrage opportunities for gasoline blenders in ARA, according to Sparta Commodities' Philip Jones-Lux, including to Mexico and Canada that would usually be serviced by the U.S. Gulf coast refining hub.

Trade

Bid

Offer

Prev.

Seller

Buyer

Ebob Barges MOC Platts E5

(fob ARA)

EUROBOB-ARA

Ebob Barges E10 Platts (fob ARA)

Ebob Barges Argus E5 (fob AR)

$613.25 (4KT)

$645 (10KT)

Vitol

Litasco

Ebob Barges E10 Argus (fob AR)

$608.25 (10Kt)

$641 (1KT traded, 2KT assessed)

Gunvor, Litasco

Varo

May swap (fob ARA)

$603

$641.75

Premium Unleaded (fob ARA)

PU-10PP-ARA

Cargoes

(fob MED)

April +$4

Trafigura

Vitol

Cargoes (cif NWE)

Naphtha

(cif NWE)

NAF-C-NWE

Ebob crack (per barrel)

$12.42

Prev. $13.40

Brent futures

LCOc1

Rbob

RBc1

Rbob crack

RBc1-CLc1

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