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UPDATE 1-Hedge funds, non-commercials less bearish on 10-year Treasury futures -CFTC data

ReutersJan 17, 2025 11:06 PM

Adds CFTC table, details of other CFTC contracts, background

- Leveraged funds and non-commercial traders pared back their net shorts on U.S. 10-year Treasury futures to the lowest levels since early July, according to data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission released on Friday, as both participants unwound heavy short positioning accumulated last year.

CFTC data showed that in the week ended Jan. 14, net shorts, or bearish bets, by leveraged accounts, or hedge funds, on 10-year note futures fell to 1,267,611 contracts 1043602LNET, the lowest in six months. Hedge funds have gradually reduced their positioning on this maturity after hitting record net shorts in August 2024.

Leveraged funds have shown persistently net short bias in Treasury futures despite large swings in interest rates. Analysts said the majority of these trades are not directional positions, but meant to take advantage of basis trades, which are arbitrage trading schemes that profit from the difference in the price between cash Treasuries and their futures.

Non-commercial traders, defined by the CFTC as market participants who take a speculative position in futures without any direct business interest in them, also reduced their net shorts on 10-year futures to 567,935 contracts 1043602NNET in the week of Jan. 14. They posted all-time short positioning on 10-year futures in October.

This segment of the market has diminished in size, although they remain active participants.

Asset managers, or institutional investors, reduced their net longs on 10-year futures in the latest week to 1,633,891 1043602ANET. Their net longs hit a lifetime peak in late October.

Asset managers have persistently shown a long bias in Treasury futures to fulfill certain portfolio benchmarks.

Below is a table of the positions in Treasury futures by non-commercial traders on the Chicago Board of Trade in the latest week:

U.S. 2-year T-notes (Contracts of $200,000)

14 Jan 2025 week

Prior week

Long

570,377

555,668

Short

1,827,583

1,748,686

Net

-1,257,206

-1,193,018

U.S. 5-year T-notes (Contracts of $100,000)

14 Jan 2025 week

Prior week

Long

362,051

390,938

Short

2,139,672

2,191,841

Net

-1,777,621

-1,800,903

U.S. 10-year T-notes (Contracts of $100,000)

14 Jan 2025 week

Prior week

Long

677,811

609,821

Short

1,245,746

1,282,267

Net

-567,935

-672,446

U.S. T-bonds (Contracts of $100,000)

14 Jan 2025 week

Prior week

Long

454,757

441,446

Short

454,705

458,273

Net

52

-16,827

U.S. Long T-bonds (Contracts of $100,000)

14 Jan 2025 week

Prior week

Long

149,112

147,775

Short

391,534

395,163

Net

-242,422

-247,388

Fed funds (Contracts of $1,000,000)

14 Jan 2025 week

Prior week

Long

187,498

198,288

Short

374,218

365,504

Net

-186,720

-167,216

(Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Editing by Leslie Adler)

((gertrude.chavez@thomsonreuters.com; 646-301-4124))

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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